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November 1, 2013

New Democrat Poll Shows Democratic Incumbents in Big Trouble

Topics: Political News and commentaries

The poll is discussed in a piece in Mother Jones titled "New Poll Shows Democratic Incumbents in Big Trouble."

Not exactly what the media has been preaching since the shutdown, but when a liberal publication takes a Democratic poll and finds bad news for Democrats ... that's sayin' something.

Via Noel Sheppard at NewsBusters:

[...] The poll was actually from James Carville and Stan Greenberg's Democracy Corps and was titled "The Revolt Against Washington and the Republican Congress."

Despite Carville and Greenberg's conclusions, author Kevin Drum dug deeper into the specifics to find some contrary nuggets:

[...] In Democratic districts, net incumbent approval has plummeted by 11 points, from +8 approval to +3 disapproval. In Republican districts, incumbent approval has gone down only 4 points. You see the same results when they ask a question about warmth of feeling toward incumbents: It's down 7 points in Republican districts and 9 points in Democratic districts.

This isn't good news for Democrats. It's true that attitudes toward the Republican Party have taken a bigger hit than attitudes toward the Democratic Party, but attitudes toward actual incumbents are exactly the opposite. And in elections, that's what matters.

Posted by Hyscience at November 1, 2013 3:48 PM

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