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August 13, 2009

The Coming Collapse Of The Dollar

As we face more massive, never seen before, debt and ecconomic breakdown from bailouts, auto and financial industry takeovers, Cap-and-Trade, and soon possibly Obamacare if it's not stopped, Jim Willie CB, a statistical analyst in marketing research and retail forecasting, says we are also facing the collapse of our dollar and financial disaster for the nation. The scenario he paints is shockingly plausible, and he backs it up with facts and figures.

It's well worth taking the time to read. Here's an excerpt:

The next shock is most likely to come from USGovt creditors, the holders of vast sums of USTreasury Bonds. They are ready to begin a salvage operation, whether coordinated or not (who knows?), that results in massive sales well over $100 billion in magnitude, maybe several hundred billion$ worth. They have stated to the USGovt their concerns about lost valuation, lost integrity, and continued threat of debasement. They are frustrated that not only are USGovt deficits enormous and unprecedented in size, but further expansive programs like Health Care are in planning stages. The creditors regard the US political and banking leaders as living in a world divorced from reality, and thus require shock treatment. USTreasury Bonds have become a liquidation currency. Actions in the Persian Gulf and European region indicate that USTBonds are being used in liquidation and distressed sales on a truly massive scale. The failed Dubai construction projects are involved in the former, the Chinese expansion (some say carpetbaggers) are involved in the latter. Details appear in the August HTLetter reports. My forecast made in September 2008, almost one full year ago, of a USTreasury Bond default has been almost uniformly mocked, denigrated, and dismissed as an impossibility. Get back to me in a few months! In fact, the widespread restructuring of USTreasurys by the creditors is a massive global project underway. The shift from long-term to short-term USTreasurys by the Chinese is but one piece. The conversion by several parties to hard assets is another. Eventually, the USGovt will work toward a formal writedown in the debt and a conversion to property, industrial plant, energy and mineral rights, farmlands, and more. That will constitute the default, but it will be denied.

As a last footnote, never overlook the continued urgent Chinese initiative to 'spend' their USTBonds quickly, for useful tangible purposes, before any damaging sequence of events occurs. Simon Black (aka the International Man) wrote, "I have been spending a lot of time this week talking to my sources in China, one of whom is inside one of the country's sovereign wealth funds (SWF). He also indicated that the SWF analysts were working around the clock trying to put deals together. For China it is a race against the clock for how fast they can convert their $2 trillion in USDollar holdings into strategic assets, namely oil and gold. At today's deflated prices, putting together a really good billion dollar deal is a difficult thing to do. Putting together 2000 of them is impossible. Doing it before the dollar collapses? Not a Chinaman's chance. And they know it."

To say the least, the very last thing we need to be doing is allowing Congress and Barack Obama to spend another single dollar. They've done enough damage already, from which we may never recover.

Posted by Abdul at August 13, 2009 11:06 PM

• The Coming Collapse Of The Dollar - Aug 13, 2009