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April 22, 2008

Sorry To Ruin All The Fun Of The Global Warming Cultists, But An 'Ice Age Cometh' (Updated)

Topics: Global Warming
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(World Temperatures according to the Hadley Center for Climate Prediction. Note the steep drop over the last year. Click image to enlarge. HT - Daily Tech)

Get prepared America, we may need to all chip-in and help pay for large-scale psychological counseling that former president - turned environmental nutjob - Al Gore and his naive and misled global warming enthusiasts are going to need from the emotional trauma of freezing their arses off instead of suffering from sweltering heat. According to Phil Chapman at the Australian, disconcerting as it may be to true believers in global warming, the average temperature on Earth has remained steady or slowly declined during the past decade, despite the continued increase in the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide, and now the global temperature is falling precipitously.

What, you say! How could this be? How can facts possibly get in the way of imagined global warming based upon computer models?

Sorry folks, but the facts speak for themselves:

All four agencies that track Earth's temperature (the Hadley Climate Research Unit in Britain, the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York, the Christy group at the University of Alabama, and Remote Sensing Systems Inc in California) report that it cooled by about 0.7C in 2007. This is the fastest temperature change in the instrumental record and it puts us back where we were in 1930. If the temperature does not soon recover, we will have to conclude that global warming is over.

There is also plenty of anecdotal evidence that 2007 was exceptionally cold. It snowed in Baghdad for the first time in centuries, the winter in China was simply terrible and the extent of Antarctic sea ice in the austral winter was the greatest on record since James Cook discovered the place in 1770.

It is generally not possible to draw conclusions about climatic trends from events in a single year, so I would normally dismiss this cold snap as transient, pending what happens in the next few years.

This is where SOHO comes in. The sunspot number follows a cycle of somewhat variable length, averaging 11 years. The most recent minimum was in March last year. The new cycle, No.24, was supposed to start soon after that, with a gradual build-up in sunspot numbers.

It didn't happen. The first sunspot appeared in January this year and lasted only two days. A tiny spot appeared last Monday but vanished within 24 hours. Another little spot appeared this Monday. Pray that there will be many more, and soon.

The reason this matters is that there is a close correlation between variations in the sunspot cycle and Earth's climate. The previous time a cycle was delayed like this was in the Dalton Minimum, an especially cold period that lasted several decades from 1790.

Northern winters became ferocious: in particular, the rout of Napoleon's Grand Army during the retreat from Moscow in 1812 was at least partly due to the lack of sunspots.

That the rapid temperature decline in 2007 coincided with the failure of cycle No.24 to begin on schedule is not proof of a causal connection but it is cause for concern.

It is time to put aside the global warming dogma, at least to begin contingency planning about what to do if we are moving into another little ice age, similar to the one that lasted from 1100 to 1850.

Keep reading, it gets scarier ...

Related:
Fox News - Evidence of Global Cooling
Daily Tech - Temperature Monitors Report Widescale Global Cooling

Posted by Richard at April 22, 2008 3:18 PM



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