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July 23, 2007

Pretending The Mullahs And Their Intentions Are Rational Doesn't Make It So

Topics: Iran

Mark Steyn's piece yesterday, "Look who's holding hostages again," notes Congress' focus on finding the most politically advantageous way to lose in Iraq, and Europe's, psychological acceptance of the Iranian nuclear umbrella:

In the Western world, where talks are not the means to the end but an end in themselves, we find it hard despite the evidence of 30 years to accept that Iran talks the talk and walks the walk. Once it goes nuclear, do you think there will be fewer fatwas on writers, stonings of homosexuals, kidnappings in international waters, forced confessions of American hostages and bankrolling of terror groups worldwide? These latest hostages are part of a decades-old pattern of behavior. The longer it goes without being stopped, the worse it will be.
And as is implicit in his title, Iran continues non-stop holding Western hostages and forcing confrontations with the West, all while continuing its build-up for expanding its global jihad in pursuit of the Islamic caliphate and the conversion of the West to Islam.

However, in spite of all this, one could easily believe, judging from the media, our politicians, the U.N., and the EU, none of this has or is happening before our very eyes, while the West continues to "talk" to Iran as though they were dealing with rational people in control of a reality-based state government that had even the most basic sense of reasonableness and intentions to act in good faith, when in fact none of these elements of normalcy or good faith exist in the case of Iran.

In my post on Iran yesterday titled, "If Iran Says No, Count On Yes," pointed to the fact that Iran "wrote the book," so to speak, on Taqiyya (religiously-sanctioned deception or dissimulation to conceal one's true intentions and beliefs), kitman (deception) and khod'eh (trickery or claiming one's true position by half-truths rather than outright lies or deception), and Taarof (a form of deception through diversion of meaning from the subject or issue under discussion).

I also noted that these are all well established deception techniques inherent in Iranian statecraft and nuclear negotiations with the Europeans and the United States, and that Iran's state doctrine involves a "clash of civilizations," irregardless of whether or not the West chooses to recognize that war between Iran and the West began back in 1979 and is presently in the process of igniting a full-blown global conflict.

And as I pointed to above, if one is to judge his or her opinion on the heat of the out-of-control war flames raging in Iran and the degree of threat that Iran poses to world peace on what one reads and hears from the media, and what we are hearing from many of our diplomacy-obsessed dhimmitudious politicians, the U.N., the EU, and all the other transnational arbiters of global order, Iran is not a problem and we can deal with what amounts to the most extraordinarily irrational and dangerous state in modern history by just sitting down with them and holding Kumbayas.

However, Kumbayas are not in the animus of the Iranian regime, at least not the kind perceived by the West. Iran's Kumbayas are nothing other than Taqiyya, kitman, khod'eh, and Taarof. They are used only to buy time and to gain a strategic advantage over their enemy - which is anyone and everyone that doesn't believe in the Khomeini/Ahmadinejad brand of Islam - and the Mahdi.

One can get a sense of the dangerous irrationality behind the Iranian regime's strategic objectives in these excerpts from an article addressing the implications of the critical role of Iranian deception modalities in Iranian-Shi'ite political discourse, especially in relation to the 20-year clandestine development of Iran's nuclear program.

... Ahmadinejad presented a 7,000-word manifesto to the Islamic majlis (parliament) which detailed his Government's "short- and long-term" plans. The document states that the region is heading for a "clash of civilizations" in which Iran represents Islam, and the U.S. carries the banner of a West that has forgotten God. Ahmadinejad presented the driving force behind Iran's policy as the belief that the decadent U.S., which is "in its last throes", is an ofuli (sunset) power, destined to be superseded by the tolu'ee (sunrise) power of the Islamic Republic of Iran. In the developing multipolar world, other "sunset" powers include the European Union and other "sunrise" powers include China and India. But the most dynamic power will be Iran, the "core power" around which all Muslim powers will coalesce. Furthermore, he stressed, Iran is prepared to develop its nuclear programme regardless of the concerns of the "outside world". Further, his policy is: "a jihad to reshape the world and ensure Islam's universal dominance".

[...] Ahmadinejad's motivations can be summarized in a single word: mahdaviat, that is, "belief in and efforts to prepare for the Mahdi". The Mahdi is, according to the Encyclopedia of Islam, the long-prophesied Islamic messiah destined to be "the restorer of religion and justice who will rule before the end of the world". A member of the family of the Prophet, the Mahdi is otherwise known as the 12th and last of the Imams, or the Hidden Imam. Shi'ite tradition claims that this mystical figure, as a child in the year 941, disappeared or "occulted" to another plane of existence, but is destined to return at the end of time and reign for seven years before bringing final judgement and the end of the world.

The Hidden Imam evidently has a keen interest in Iran's nuclear development programme and communicates only through the president and, interestingly, not the supreme leader or the mullahs. Shortly before he announced that Iran was a member of the "nuclear club", Ahmadinejad reportedly experienced a khalvat (tete a tete) with the Hidden Imam.

Ahmadinejad has "restored" the Hidden Imam with whom he has reportedly written and signed a pact, which displaces the power of the mullahs and the "supreme Guide", and the Iranian electorate. The Iranian Government, in the person of Ahmadinejad, is apparently responsible to the Hidden Imam. Politics and religion are now inseparable in Iran. It is wrong to say Ahmadinejad has challenged the Supreme Leader's authority. Politics and religion have been inseparable since 1979.

Ahmadinejad believes the Hidden Imam will appear in his lifetime which will result in an apocalypse in which Muslims and Iran will be victorious. The West and Israel will have been "eliminated".

Does any of this, and I do mean "any," exhibit what could be called rational in any sense of the word? Does any of this provide a basis for meaningful and rational discussions with the intent of achieving real objectives with any degree certainty that any agreements would be honored by Iran? Clearly, the West is chasing a phantom in the belief that discussions with Iran have even the remotest chance success and that they can lead to a non-nuclear Iran and an end to Iran's pursuit of global domination by Iran's brand of Islam with Iran at the center of global control.

The West can continue to pretend that it is not at war with Iran, but this will not change the fact that Iran is at war with the West. This isn't going to change, and unfortunately, unless the West recognizes the war exists and deals with it effectively, militarily if necessary and the sooner the better, generations to come will look back on us today and shake their heads in disbelief, wondering what in the world were we thinking and why did we fail to stop the madness of the mullahs when we could, before they got their hands on the nukes, and before they could completely unleash their terror upon the world.

Related reading: Recognizing Iran as a Strategic Threat: An Intelligence Challenge for the United States

Posted by Richard at July 23, 2007 10:00 AM



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