May 10, 2007
Giuliani Plans to Publicly Embrace Abortion Rights (Updated)Topics: Political News and commentaries
Something tells me this is going to cost Giuliani the nomination that he was going to have a tough time getting in the first place. Tough as it was going to be before now, I believe that it just got tougher; bucking a 30-year tradition to run as a Republican nominee who supports abortion rights is a bold, if not crazy, move:
After months of conflicting signals on abortion, Rudolph W. Giuliani is planning to offer a forthright affirmation of his support for abortion rights in public forums, television appearances and interviews in the coming days, despite the potential for bad consequences among some conservative voters already wary of his views, aides said yesterday.Admittedly, I'm no political analyst; but in my humble opinion, if there are many other conservatives that are of a similar mindset as my own, I believe you can color Rudy Giuliani gone from the running. I could be over reacting here, but the only thing I believe could change his chances for the nomination is another 9/11-style attack from the jihadicrazies.
At the same time, Mr. Giuliani's campaign -- seeking to accomplish the unusual task of persuading Republicans to nominate an abortion rights supporter -- is eyeing a path to the nomination that would try to de-emphasize the early states in which abortion opponents wield a great deal of influence. Instead they would focus on the so-called mega-primary of Feb. 5, in which voters in states like California, New York and New Jersey are likely to be more receptive to Mr. Giuliani's social views than voters in Iowa and South Carolina.
That approach, they said, became more appealing after the Legislature in Florida, another state they said would be receptive to Mr. Giuliani, voted last week to move the primary forward to the end of January.
The shift in emphasis comes as the Giuliani campaign has struggled to deal with the fallout from the first Republican presidential candidate debate, in which he gave halting and apparently contradictory responses to questions about his support for abortion rights.
Update: Captain Ed disagrees with my view on the effect of Giulianis decision on his chances of getting the nomination. Ed makes a good argument for it helping Giuliani, albeit for reasons not too dissimilar from what I've described - national security may trump values:
Will this derail his candidacy? Not really. Anyone paying attention already knew Rudy's position on abortion, despite the tapdancing of the last several weeks. Those who vote on abortion only weren't going to support Rudy, at least not in the primaries. Rudy draws support for two reasons: toughness and leadership. Giving up the rhetorical gymnastics and talking frankly about his position on abortion serve to underscore those qualities, not undermine them. In an age of terror, a pro-choice candidate with a proven track record in those two areas has as good a chance as any to win the Republican nomination.
Posted by Richard at May 10, 2007 12:55 AM
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