August 3, 2006
Truism: Islamic War Against Israel (And The West) Will Not End With A CeasefireTopics: Middle East News and Perspectives
Ted Belman at Israpundit posits that Iran and Hezballah will not accept defeat nor will they accept a ceasefire the terms of which succeed in disarming Hezbollah:
France is already in negotiations with Iran as to what ceasefire it will accept.Continue reading "Let's be realistic. This war won't end even with a 'ceasefire'."
At best the ceasefire will give the appearance of disarming Hezbollah, but it will never produce what the US is demanding, namely a sustainable peace. It will simply serve the purposes of ending the immediate hostilities. But I don't think it will even end that. Hezbollah will continue to send missiles into Israel
Iran and Hezbollah are dedicated to destroying Israel. They will not give up the fight.
There is no quick fix. Syria and Iran must be defeated.
Almost on cue, Fox News is just now reporting that Hezbollah says there will be no ceasefire until Israel leaves Lebanon. As a matter of fact, there was no ceasefire, as far as Hezbollah was concerned, even before Israel went into Lebanon. Hezbollah has been firing rockets into Israel for years.
As Jed Babbin opines in his piece today at Real Clear Politics, "The Siniora Syndrome" (remember the emotional pathology that became known as the Stockholm Syndrome?), Hizballah will be reinforced, resupplied and rearmed by Syria and Iran in a matter of months and Israel will have to mount this sort of invasion again and again:
Hizballah will be reinforced, resupplied and rearmed by Syria and Iran in a matter of months and Israel will have to mount this sort of invasion again and again. No international force will accomplish Hizballah's destruction, especially one from the UN or NATO. Because the French are still French, neither the Russians nor the Chinese need bestir themselves to doom the operation.
According to a Reuters report, during a visit to Beirut French foreign minister Douste-Blazy said, "It was clear that we could never accept a destabilization of Lebanon, which could lead to a destabilization of the region." He added, "In the region there is of course a country such as Iran -- a great country, a great people and a great civilization which is respected and which plays a stabilizing role in the region." Iran is, indeed, trying to establish a new stability in the Middle East. If Israel fails to force Hizballah out of Lebanon and free the Siniora government from captivity, then Iran will have succeeded. It will have established Lebanon as the first captured nation in its new caliphate. That would be a strategic defeat for Israel, and for us.
Although Belkin's piece at Israpundit is focused on attacking Olmert's policies, his point that there will be no peace for Israel with a ceasefire in Lebanon is a truism, and unless Hizballah is completely destroyed, and the issue of Syria and Iran's complicity in the terrorism conducted by the likes of Islamic Jihad, Hamas, and Hizballah, and the Islamist's pursuit of the caliphate is addressed, a ceasefire in Lebanon will not bring about an end to war against Israel (standing in for the West against Islamofascism) - there will be no peace for Israel, not for the U.S., and not for the world. As if this point hasn't already been made clear by Ahmadinejad, he reiterated it again today, saying that "Although the main cure (to the situation) is the elimination of the Zionist regime, in this stage an immediate ceasefire should be implemented."
What Ahmadinejad is saying in Islamo-speak, it that he is essentially calling for a "hudna" which has a distinct meaning to Islamic fundamentalists, well-versed in their history:
The prophet Mohammad struck a legendary, ten-year hudna with the Quraysh tribe that controlled Mecca in the seventh century. Over the following two years, Mohammad rearmed and took advantage of a minor Quraysh infraction to break the hudna and launch the full conquest of Mecca, the holiest city in Islam. When Yassir Arafat infamously invoked Mohammad's hudna in 1994 to describe his own Oslo commitments "on the road to Jerusalem," the implication was clear. As Mideast expert Daniel Pipes explained, Arafat was asserting to his Islamic brethren that he will, "when his circumstances change for the better, take advantage of some technicality to tear up existing accords and launch a military assault on Israel." Indeed, this is precisely what occurred in Sept. 2000 when Arafat & Co. launched a terror assault upon Israeli citizens. More here at Honest ReportingAs Atlas Shrugs pointed out back on July 2 - we've been there, done that - The enemy must be beaten. The Jihad against Israel is the foundation of the militant group's very existence. For Hezbollah members, the destruction of Israel is not only non-negotiable, it is a religious duty. Hezbollah only understands the language of violence and Israel's military is the only force that is in a position to effectively confront Hezbollah.
Islamism isn't out to change Israeli policy in the region, Islamism is out to completely eradicate the country of Israel, and from there, the West. The goal of the Islamists is to make Lebanon the first country in the new caliphate. Israel's military operation in Lebanon and Gaza is important for the entire Western world.
Ceasefire? Only if we are willing to surrender now to the Islamists. We need to realize that Lebanon has become the line in the sand, and the side that pulls back from that line is defeated. I know war first hand, I am not in favor of war, only peace - a lasting peace. Unless the radical Islamists are stopped in Lebanon, and that means Iran and Syria along with Hamas, the number of people that will die will be exponentially greater than the rate and number that are presenly dying now in Lebanon and Israel.
Related: Charles at LGF says we should note that Iranian madman Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his genocidal rhetoric are not being disavowed by the world's Islamic nations. The Organization of the Islamic Conference did not issue one word of disapproval following his call to destroy Israel, at their meeting in Malaysia--not even a pro forma public relations statement.
Posted by Richard at August 3, 2006 11:54 AM
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