When looking at the raw data, the first item that causes a raised eyebrow is that over a third of the people polled either have not followed the issue closely or even at all. That eliminates almost 300 of the 809 people surveyed from the sample, and it also gives a pretty good indicator that the story may not be as explosive as people would like to think. A third of Americans don't even care about it. What does that tell us?

The next odd item is the polling on the Bush admnistration's effort to balance civil liberties with the pursuit of terrorists. A majority believe that either the Bush administration has balanced it properly -- or that it hasn't gone far enough in fighting the terrorists (34% and 19%, respectively). Forty-one percent feel that the White House has gone too far, up from 38% in January, but within the margin of error.

Then we have the strange split among the naysayers. While 51% of the sample disapprove of the program, 34% of those (17% overall) believe that the program would be acceptable under some circumstances. Only 31% overall believe that the creation of a phone database by the NSA would never be acceptable under any circumstances, which tends to agree with the Post polling. That trend continues with 64% expressing little or no concern about whether the federal government has their telephone records.

In other words, the public has a great deal of ambivalence in their initial reaction to this program, and while they don't necessarily like it, it isn't keeping them awake at night.

Dafydd at Big Lizards notes the key difference between the ABC/WaPo poll and the two conducted by Newsweek and USA Today -- the fact that the former explained the purpose of the data collection in the question.

Here's the question asked by the ABC/WaPo poll:

It's been reported that the National Security Agency has been collecting the phone call records of tens of millions of Americans. It then analyzes calling patterns in an effort to identify possible terrorism suspects, without listening to or recording the conversations. Would you consider this an acceptable or unacceptable way for the federal government to investigate terrorism? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

USA Today asked this:

As you may know, as part of its efforts to investigate terrorism, a federal government agency obtained records from three of the largest U.S. telephone companies in order to create a database of billions of telephone numbers dialed by Americans. How closely have you been following the news about this?

Based on what you have heard or read about this program to collect phone records, would you say you approve or disapprove of this government program?

And as a commenter at CQ points out: The idea that the NSA can't have these records, but everybody else can just buy them is silly.

We can now eagerly await the next self-fulfilling and downward spiraling cycle from the negative media reports on these polls with their slew of misleading questions "toned" toward negative results pertaining to the interests of the administration, which in turn will once again affect public opinion, and on and on etc......

Other coverage on the topic: Wizbang

Tags: polls, political polls, nsa,