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September 21, 2005
Al Qaeda Running Out of Volunteers?: On Winning And Loosing The War
Topics: War on TerrorJames Joyner at Outside the Beltway points to a Donald Sensing well sourced essay arguing that al Qaeda is having trouble finding volunteers, especially for suicide bombings and attacks on hard targets.
The trend on the ground in Iraq is that al Qaeda has almost given up attacking US forces directly because they lose badly every time. They have turned instead to attacking Iraqi Security Forces, which are a softer target. Bit the ISF troops are increasing in number and competence week by week. In fact, the ISF performed very well in rooting al Qaeda out of Tal Afar recently in conjunction with US Army units. This operation has been basically concluded now.
James offers an important commentary that reminds us that:
al Qaeda doesn't have to defeat the American military--or even the Iraqi military and security forces--on the battlefield. Terrorists, insurgents, and guerillas win by breaking their opponent's hostile will, not their physical capacity to carry on the fight.As Victor Davis Hanson writes in his piece in the April 2005 issue of National Review Online: "One of the most disheartening things about this war is the realization that on any given day, a number of once-stalwart supporters will suddenly hedge, demand someone's resignation, or bail, citing all sorts of legitimate grievances without explaining that none of their complaints compares to past disappointments in prior successful wars -- and without worry that the only war in which America was defeated was lost more at home than abroad."There's not much chance of breaking our soldiers' will anytime soon but public opinion has turned against the war. In Vietnam, the American military never lost a major battle. Even the infamous Tet Offensive was ultimately a rout of the enemy. In the end, that didn't matter. Perception often trumps reality. The perception is that we are losing.
Perhaps our friends to the left of center ought to ruminate on that, and as for the rest of us, we need to work toward helping them do just that! After all, "the terrorists in Iraq are hopelessly overmatched on the field of battle, so their whole strategy depends on Western advocates of defeatism and appeasement--and on the cooperation of the American press in making our battlefield victories look like defeats."
Posted by Richard at September 21, 2005 3:12 PM
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