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April 20, 2005
Physicists Predict Next 9/11
Topics: General ScienceI've placed this in the "General Science" category but it might be better placed in "Strange but True?" I do question the "true" part, so keep this under your hat as food for thought.
Statistical laws suggest a terrorist attack deadlier than the World Trade Center disaster will occur within seven years, if current trends continue, two researchers say.
The conclusion comes from an examination of past statistics of terrorist events, combined with a few mathematical maneuvers. The prediction was possible, the researchers added, because as senseless, random and emotional as human outbursts of violence seem, they actually follow laws as dull and predictable as the laws of gravity. Terrorism and wars both follow similar laws, the researchers found. And based on them, one can calculate how likely it is that a given attack will kill a given number of people. Knowing how often an attack occurs anywhere--which is every 17 hours on average--a few more mathematical steps lead to a calculation of how long it will take before an attack will kill "X" number of people or more. Read more ...
Posted by Hyscience at April 20, 2005 9:19 AM
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