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January 2, 2005

Avian influenza - situation in Viet Nam

Topics: Medicine

In my Dec 31 post entitled "Chickens in Vietnam's northern region die of bird flu" I warned that avian influenza can be deadly to humans and we continue to hear more and more about this year's spread of the virus. In the Dec 31 post I mentioned that China has recently expressed grave concern for the problem (saying up to 100 million people may die) and that I have previously reported on it  here and here.  I plan to continue sounding this same warning until the MSM finally picks up on the matter  - that this virus is very dangerous and I don't think that we are taking sufficient precautions yet. This virus could be the source of our next pandemic, and it's already spreading. Again I remind you just so you know, bird flu = avian influenza, and it kills you. In Vietnam since January, 20 out of 28 human cases have been fatal. Can you imagine one million people dying in China as the Chinese have already expressed fear of as being a possibility? The spread of the virus kicking off in China with one million deaths could make for a very serious pandemic. 

Now we have WHO finally commenting on the human cases in Vietnam. 

- World Health Organization 30 December 2004

WHO has received informal reports of a laboratory-confirmed case of H5N1 infection in Viet Nam.

The patient, who has been hospitalized since 26 December, is a 16-year-old girl who fell ill in the southern province of Tay Ninh.

Vietnamese authorities are investigating the source of her infection, including the possibility of contact with infected poultry.

This is the first human case of H5N1 detected in Viet Nam since early September. It coincides with several fresh poultry outbreaks reported in southern provinces in December. Recent poultry outbreaks in Tay Ninh Province have not been reported.

As avian influenza viruses become more active at cooler temperatures, further poultry outbreaks, possibly accompanied by sporadic human cases, can be anticipated.

Poultry marketing, transportation, and consumption increase in Viet Nam with the approach of the Lunar New Year in early February. These activities create conditions favouring the spread of poultry outbreaks and call for heightened control measures.

Since January of this year, 28 human cases have been detected in Viet Nam. Of these, 20 were fatal. Thailand has also reported human cases, bringing the total in Asia since the beginning of this year to 45 cases, of which 32 have been fatal.

The above text in blue(my  emphasis) is a very laid-back comment considering what we might be facing. Keep your eyes on the MSM, because sooner or later you are going to hear much more about avian influenza.

Posted by Hyscience at January 2, 2005 5:10 PM

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